Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?

New leg among the top events by volume (24h volume $2,231); picked by code for a first check.

Estimate 0.050 is 0.3 points from the market YES price 0.048, under the 5-point council threshold.

Considered betting

YES (it happens)

Our estimate

5% chance YES

Would have paid

6¢ per YES share

Market

5% chance YES

Date

today

• Anthropic valuation (LOW) $800B by Dec 31: Last confirmed NPM-adjacent print $965B (May 2026); current implied $834B; IPO targeted week of Nov 16 at $1.5-2T

• valueaddvc.com/blog/anthropic-valuation-2026-965b-series-h-a
  Anthropic's Series H closed May 28, 2026 at a $965B post-money valuation, and the Oct 26 S-1 / Nov 2 S-1/A leave the IPO price range blank, so $965B remains the last priced mark as of Nov 5, 2026.
• www.cnbc.com/2026/10/27/-anthropic-ipo-investors-growth-loss
  Anthropic was valued at $965B in May and is reportedly seeking an IPO valuation in the $1.5-2 trillion range.
• stockanalysis.com/private/anthropic/valuation/
  As of Nov 9, 2026, the tracker's current-implied Anthropic valuation is $834.32B, down 13.54% from the $965B Series H print.

No council record