Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?
New leg among the top events by volume (24h volume $2,704); picked by code for a first check.
Estimate 0.025 is 0.5 points from the market YES price 0.030, under the 5-point council threshold.
- Pedro Sánchez next leader out before 2027: yes 0.03 / ask 0.034 on Polymarket as of this scan
- www.euronews.com/2026/10/05/pedro-sanchez-calls-early-electi Sanchez called a snap general election for 29 November 2026 after Congress rejected his government's housing decrees.
- www.todoalicante.es/english/snap-election-spares-sanchez-202 The trial of Sanchez's wife Begoña Gómez is still months away, with judicial sources estimating a hearing date between spring and autumn 2027, i.e. after this market's 31 Dec 2026 deadline.
- www.democrata.es/en/general-elections-spain/rufian-says-that As of 6 Nov 2026, David Sánchez's (the president's brother) conviction for malfeasance is under appeal at the High Court of Justice of Extremadura and is not final.
No council record