Will Stephen Miller leave the Trump administration before 2027?

New leg among the top events by volume (24h volume $5,393); picked by code for a first check.

Estimate 0.025 is 1.8 points from the market YES price 0.043, under the 5-point council threshold.

Considered betting

NO (it doesn't happen)

Our estimate

3% chance YES

Would have paid

96¢ per NO share

Market

4% chance YES

Date

today

• Will Stephen Miller leave the Trump administration before 2027?: market yes 0.0435, ask 0.047, liquidity $38.6k

• www.whitehouse.gov/releases/2026/11/president-trump-names-st
  The White House announced on Nov 6, 2026 that Stephen Miller was appointed the 33rd White House Chief of Staff, succeeding Susie Wiles, effective that week.
• apnews.com/article/susie-wiles-trump-miller-midterms-95690fe
  AP reported Trump called Miller 'one of my most trusted advisors' when announcing the chief of staff change on Nov 6, 2026.

No council record