Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?

New leg among the top events by volume (24h volume $7,879); picked by code for a first check.

Estimate 0.130 is 3.0 points from the market YES price 0.160, under the 5-point council threshold.

Considered betting

NO (it doesn't happen)

Our estimate

13% chance YES

Would have paid

85¢ per NO share

Market

16% chance YES

Date

today

• Hyperliquid $100 by Dec 31 2026: Spot price $74 on Nov 9; needs +35% to hit $100; nearest resistance $85/$87.7/$97.8; 14.2M token unlock Nov 29

• www.fxstreet.com/cryptocurrencies/news/hyperliquid-price-for
  On Nov 4, 2026 HYPE traded at $81.73, below its 50-day and 20-day EMAs ($82.64/$83.40), with resistance levels at $85.04, $87.68, and $97.84 before $100.
• www.ainvest.com/news/elysium-hyperliquid-token-layer-2-built
  After the Oct 29 ICE/Trade[XYZ] deal, HYPE spiked ~20% then fully reversed, trading near $78 days later; a scheduled 14.2 million HYPE token unlock is set for Nov 29, 2026.
• www.coingecko.com/en/coins/hyperliquid/historical_data
  HYPE closed at $74.45 on Nov 8, 2026, down from its 2026 peak close of $97.22 on Sept 22, 2026.

No council record