Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?

New leg among the top events by volume (24h volume $11,475); picked by code for a first check.

Estimate 0.110 is 1.1 points from the market YES price 0.121, under the 5-point council threshold.

Considered betting

NO (it doesn't happen)

Our estimate

11% chance YES

Would have paid

90¢ per NO share

Market

12% chance YES

Date

today

• Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?: Polymarket YES 12.15% as of 2026-11-09
• UK bookmaker consensus (William Hill/Oddschecker, early Nov 2026): O'Connor implied probability roughly 9-11%, third/fourth among reported finalists

• www.oddschecker.com/insight/tv/20261103-next-james-bond-odds
  William Hill priced Josh O'Connor at 8/1 (about 11%), third behind Callum Turner (4/7) and Jack Lowden (7/2), as of Nov 3, 2026.
• www.theguardian.com/film/2026/nov/04/callum-turner-favourite
  The Guardian reported Nov 4, 2026 that William Hill had Josh O'Connor at 9/2, third behind Turner (8/13) and Lowden (2/1).
• news.williamhill.com/tv/next-james-bond-odds-callum-turner-s
  William Hill listed Josh O'Connor at 9/1 (about 10%), fourth in the field behind Turner, Lowden and Jack Barton.

No council record