Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
New leg among the top events by volume (24h volume $54,256); picked by code for a first check.
Estimate 0.400 is 1.5 points from the market YES price 0.415, under the 5-point council threshold.
- Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?: Polymarket YES 41.5% as of 2026-11-09
- Impeachment push: Rep. Massie reintroducing 8 articles of impeachment against Hegseth the week of Nov 9, 2026
- www.nbcnews.com/politics/national-security/trump-discussing- Trump has told allies in recent days he is considering replacing Hegseth, per two sources familiar with the discussions (Nov 4, 2026).
- thehill.com/policy/defense/6202854-hegseth-pentagon-future-u A senior Pentagon official called replacing Hegseth impractical given Senate confirmation timing before Democrats take the chamber, and said he is 'not terribly worried about being replaced' (Nov 5, 2026).
- abcnews.com/amp/Politics/trump-dismisses-prospect-replacing- Trump told reporters Nov 4, 2026 that Hegseth would remain on the job and is 'doing a great job', and Hegseth's spokesperson said he is '100% committed' through the end of the term.
No council record