Will Anthropic IPO by November 19, 2026?
Price moved 3pts on recheck as fresh roadshow-timing reports landed this week.
No edge: estimate (27%) within 2pts of market price (25.5%). Timeline reports are genuinely split between a Nov 16-18 fast case and a Nov 19-21 pricing-then-trading case, which the market price already reflects.
- market_yes_price: 0.255
- my_est_yes: 0.27
- www.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/exclusiveai-backlas Reuters Nov 5 reported investors pushing for a bigger valuation discount, raising doubt the roadshow starting week of Nov 9 keeps Anthropic on track for a November listing.
- diespekulanten.de/wirtschafts-news/anthropic-roadshow-zeitpl Multiple outlets name Nov 19 or 20, 2026 as the likely pricing date, with trading starting the day after pricing (i.e. Nov 20-21), which would miss a Nov 19 cutoff.
No council record